Early NFL Super Bowl O/U Betting Pick, Odds & Analysis

If you correctly picked the two teams set to compete for the Super Bowl this season, then you may want to go out and buy yourself a lottery ticket. The LA Rams are perhaps not the biggest surprise, although the majority had the Tampa Bay Buccaneers or Green Bay Packers coming out of the NFC. Over on the AFC side, there were probably not many people outside of the city of Cincinnati who really believed that the Bengals would be where they are now. Let’s take a look at the big game in the O/U department so you can get all set to make your bets against the Super Bowl Odds.

Super Bowl 56 Over/Under Pick and Analysis | NFL Betting

Cincinnati Bengals versus LA Rams – Super Bowl Betting

The common theme with both teams is that they went out and got themselves a quarterback who is next level. The Bengals got their man through the draft, while the Rams went the trade route to get Matthew Stafford. This just shows that there is more than one way to get the job done. Over the next week and a half, we will be talking about the Super Bowl a lot, but let’s get things started by looking at the OVER/UNDER for the big game.

What is the Current O/U Odds?

Right now, the point total for the Super Bowl is set at 49, although that may move a little either way before we get to kick-off. This is the first time in 4 years that the total has been set under 50 points. Interestingly enough, the previous 3 Super Bowl’s have gone UNDER the point total, although in fairness, that has little bearing on this year’s game.

O/U Trends for Both Teams

Let’s get things started by looking at the LA Rams. While the Super Bowl is traditionally played at a neutral venue, the Rams will have the benefit of playing the championship game in their own building. With that in mind, you might expect things to lean towards the UNDER. The Rams are 10-9-1 O/U on the season, but 4-6 O/U in games played at home. 2 of their 3 playoff games this season have also gone UNDER. One of the more convincing trends when looking at the Rams is that they have seen the UNDER hit in 27 of their last 38 games starting as a favorite.

When looking at the Bengals, you become even more convinced that we are potentially looking at the UNDER as the way to go in the Super Bowl. 12 of the 20 games that they have played this season have gone UNDER the point total, but a deeper dig shows even more trends that make the UNDER a more obvious bet. They are on a run now, including 3 playoff games, where the UNDER has hit in 4 straight. In fact, if you go back in history a little, you will see that the Bengals have had the UNDER hit in the playoffs in 7 straight games.

Early Super Bowl O/U Pick

This is almost certainly something I will continue to look at in the days leading up to the Super Bowl, but for now, I am all about the UNDER. Neither of these teams have really lit it up offensively on their road to the big game, with both relying heavily on solid defensive play. That, combined with the trends mentioned above, has me leaning towards the UNDER.

 


 

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